The other part of this is that it's starting to sink in that no-one can make accurate predictions for sea-level rise; it's rising, it's going to keep rising, it's possible to talk about how much ice is available to melt, but a specific rate is inherently unknowable. Anthropogenic carbon forcing is way off any naturally occuring anything,so we haven't got a paleo-example (and certainly not one recent enough to be in the high-resolution data that goes back a million years or so at most.)
If you listen to the arctic amplification and glacier collapse process specialists, you can't rule out ten metres of sea level rise by 2050. They're not predicting that; most of them have stopped predicting anything. But they're pointing out it's a plausible outcome on the basis of current knowledge. If some dim intimation of that is starting to register in New York I'd expect to see much more of this sort of thing as the awareness spreads.
I figure the tipping point is not so much divestment as building codes that ban combustion furnaces; that's the point at which the clue will have well and truly hit.
(I don't expect that to happen before agriculture goes catastrophically unstable.)
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timeasmymeasure
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Date: 2018-01-12 02:50 pm (UTC)If you listen to the arctic amplification and glacier collapse process specialists, you can't rule out ten metres of sea level rise by 2050. They're not predicting that; most of them have stopped predicting anything. But they're pointing out it's a plausible outcome on the basis of current knowledge. If some dim intimation of that is starting to register in New York I'd expect to see much more of this sort of thing as the awareness spreads.
I figure the tipping point is not so much divestment as building codes that ban combustion furnaces; that's the point at which the clue will have well and truly hit.
(I don't expect that to happen before agriculture goes catastrophically unstable.)